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3 Reasons to Avoid Zimmerman this Year

February 14, 2018 at 10:17 am

At 32-years-old the Washington Nationals veteran posted career-highs in HR, RBI along with a number of other offensive categories in 2017. You probably recall the common question last year if you owned Zimmerman, “When do I sell?” It was the first time since 2013 he played more than 140 games and he clearly made the most of it. However, we should expect major regression in 2018. Here are 3 quick reasons why:

1) Last season he had a 40% hard contact rate and a .303 BA. With a 13-year career we should expect his BA to return to his career average closer to the .275 area which simultaneously will bring down his production proportionally. His career-highs last year in efficiency categories such as ISO, BABIP, HR/FB were a major reasons for his success, and its very unlikely to repeat that. How often does a veteran in his mid-30s break his own career highs in back-to-back years?

2) With his history of injuries its unrealistic to expect he can stay healthy YoY, especially at his age. Sometimes luck is involved to get to the 140-150 GP plateau, and Zimmerman is no exception. The fact that we need him to stay healthy and maintain the stats mentioned in bullet #1 seems unrealistic. (Yes, he will need rest as well). Don’t expect him to play as many games as he did last year.

3) With Dave Martinez taking over the Manager job we can expect the team to make some adjustments. The new skipper may have different plans for Zimmerman which to us are still unknown. New coaching staffs always plays a variable risk in fantasy that is hard to predict, but something to be aware of.

There is a ton of 1B depth in fantasy baseball. Don’t waste a slot on Ryan Zimmerman.

3 comments to this topic | Share:

Profile photo of Timmy T
Posted 14 February 2018

Last year was as flukey as it can get, i really really really doubt anybody expects Zimmerman to repeat last year.

Profile photo of Arnold
Posted 14 February 2018

He doesn’t make the top 20 in most rankings. Maybe a 3rd 1B/util for most teams this year. Seems to be in same ballpark as Thames, Morales, and Olsen. Could be a high floor low ceiling type of play which is always safe for your bench.

Profile photo of Justin Vogel
Posted 16 February 2018

Still a solid deep league player. high floor for those 16 man type leagues.

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